PredictEm! The Track Equalization Chart - published annually by AMERICAN TURF MAGAZINE - is used to adjust actual running times of races on dirt and all-weather surfaces when comparing final times run at tracks other than the one the bettor may be handicapping. Yet his name is familiar to only the most avid followers of horse racing. That would mean that the eventual winner of the race ran the first section or quarter of the race in 80, the second quarter in 92 and the last in 89.

800-400M. © 2020 EzineArticlesAll Rights Reserved Worldwide, How To Handicap A Horse Race Using Early Speed As A Factor, Basic Principles of Finding Winners at the Races, Horse Racing Systems for Wet Weather Racing, Horse Racing: Two General Ways To Handicap And Two General Ways To Profitcap, Horse Racing: How Not To Have a Get Something For Nothing Attitude And Learning Profitcapping, http://williewins.homestead.com/true.html, https://EzineArticles.com/expert/Bill_Peterson/144212, http://ezinearticles.com/?Horse-­Racing-­Handicapping-­With-­Par-­Times&id=6876318. As well as this, the rating of 83 was the best rating in the race last time out, despite the horse only finishing in 5th place. 1,682 Articles, By

Using the example of the par times and pace pars above, any horse who had set those pace pars and also the final time for a race would be considered a contender.

|   These are just two examples of how to use the speed rating class pars to highlight horses that are bang in form and likely to win and having all of this information to hand that most punters just don’t have, can really be the difference between winning and losing in the long term. Accordingly, Belmont, with its 102 sprint rating, is judged to be 4/5 of a second faster than Aqueduct … Looking back at the race card and you will see that Treasury Notes last two runs as I have already said scored ratings of 84 and 83, both of which were higher than the par figure for the race, meaning that the horse has been bang in form recently and was likely to run well again today. So treat it as a recreational activity and don't bet more than you can afford to lose. What Road Bicycle Gear Ratio Should I Use in the Hills? Location: Fells Point MD. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. I do not follow a system as such because I absolutely hate losing bets so I use your ratings as a starting point to identify possible bets and then analyse the information and cross reference it. For instance, a 6 furlong $10,000 claiming event for 4 year olds and up might have a par of 1:10, meaning one minute and ten seconds and a par of 88 (speed figure). He wrote a book about professional golfers and has written magazine articles about sports, politics, legal issues, travel and business for national and Northwest publications. Since this isn't an exact science, you might want to allow a little wiggle room and say that any horse who had come within a tick or two of those times was also a possibility. That would not have been so easy without my net earnings from using your ratings. He received a Juris Doctor from Duke Law School and a Bachelor of Science in political science from Whitman College. You have done something no one else has and so must be applauded for it. That is an area I need to improve, at least I think I do. Treasury Notes Won 15/2, staying on strongly despite not getting a clear run about two furlongs out. Distance(M) Class. Excellent stuff!!! Bill Peterson  |   So thank you very much. However, when handicapping races for older horses, many have already peaked and the par times you see in past races are the best to be expected. -  Designed by Thrive Themes I feel as though I have access to privileged information that the rest of the racing world does not and this gives me my edge over the bookies.

Acquire par figures. With Patience and the willingness to forego the overbet favourites, your service has always provided long term profit. One second equates to roughly five lengths. That’s why I’m still as enthusiastic as when I first joined your service.

The site is now my most single valuable asset.

Today horse racing racing is one of the oldest of all sports, and its basic concept has undergone virtually no change over the centuries.

What makes time, as it relates to racehorses, so subjective is that time only measures how fast the horse is running, not the … Not every race will have horses that have achieved the par figure, but this will normally be due to the fact that the runners are all unexposed, lightly raced and/or open to improvement, able to achieve par or near par in future races.

Calculate the par figure for each day of racing. Copyright 2020 Leaf Group Ltd. / Leaf Group Media, All Rights Reserved. Now everyone who buys a "Daily Racing Form" has access to high-quality speed figures and the edge is gone. To see all Bill's horse racing material go to Horse Racing Handicapping [http://horse-racing-handicapping.co], Bill's handicapping store.

Especially at smaller tracks, Beyer figures might not be as good as your own figures, especially if you have an in-depth knowledge of the horses at your local track. Straight away you can see that the Master and Lto rating of 85 for Gravity Flow stand out a mile compared to the rest of the field and it becomes even more apparent when you look at the speed rating class pars table above and see that the average winning rating for a class 4 handicap for older horses is only 80. Posts: 95 Par Times. ", "Hi Ian. On the other hand, before the race starts it is nice to think that you know exactly how the runners will race and where each one will be during each quarter of the race. You may like to know that I took 2 months off in October to tour New Zealand and Australia in some style. Once again many thanks.

Once the gate opens and pandemonium starts and you get that sinking feeling in your stomach, well, that's when you realize that par times and pace figures and speed figures are just a guide.

Well Done.”, "Finding inform racing fantastic and has completely changed the way I trade. After all they had both just run in a class 4 handicap, both races were worth £5,175 to the winner and both horses won. However, for those so inclined, making your own speed figures enables you to check your own figures against the Beyer numbers. Group Race.

Grade 2 . Some tracks are faster and …

Betting the horses is a challenging and difficult game. Using the above example, let's say Horse B ran a mile in one minute, 36 seconds on February 21, when the track was rated one second faster than par time. ", “Just had to write and praise your Inform Speed Ratings (and so much more) that give all the clues to the UK Horse Racing scene. In the early years of the 21st century, Beyer speed figures began appearing in the "Daily Racing Form," so you no longer need to calculate your own figures. Of course, in a perfect world horses would always run exactly the same and you'd win all your wagers, but this is horse racing reality so we know that isn't going to happen. As you can see, there is very little difference in both of these races and the results and it was probably a toss of the coin for most punters between the two favourites for who was going to win. The speed figure may be a Beyer speed figure or another method may be used to calculate it using proprietary software. They are also used for fractions or segments of the race as well, such as a par of 80/92/89. https://EzineArticles.com/expert/Bill_Peterson/144212, Recreation and Sports: Horse-Racing ", "A friend introduced me to your service last year and I must say it is excellent. Gravity Flow rating of 85 – Class 4 Handicap – Value £5,175 – Position 1st, Battlement rating of 75 – Class 4 Handicap – Value £5,175 – Position 1st. With younger horses these methods must be considered a rough guide because young horses are still improving and the pars they set in past races may not indicate what they're capable of today. Therefore, the "true" time for Horse B would be one minute, 37 seconds. 1600-1200M. That is unless you had access to the speed ratings! Time is frequently used as a measure of how a horse is preparing for a race or has performed in the past. I have made a video of these two examples on the link below which also contains two more winning horses selected on the same days as those above at 4/1 and 9/2. The point of creating speed figures is to compare the "true" time of each horse compared to the relative quickness or slowness of the track surface on a particular day.
In fact the second horse is clear by a long way of the short priced favourite for the race who was beaten into third by our ‘speed rating’ winner.

A more sophisticated method of calculating speed figures is known as the projection method. Standard Times : Start-1600M. I'm a data engineer by trade, and I have been able to run some tests in your System Builder to find a handful of profitable systems that have more than covered the subscription price.
It is extremely difficult to win money at the track. Submitted On February 12, 2012. 1200-800M. times at a specific track and the appropriate par times, for each racing day. The joint favourite for the race, Battlement, only rated 75 last time out despite the form of the joint favourites last races looking very similar indeed. Russell Baze is the winningest jockey in American history.

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